Topical blogs and articles

A showcase of some of the best data analysis from across the web.

Expected goal leaderboards – a roundup from the Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga, Ligue 1 and Serie A.… twitter.com/i/web/status/8… 25 Apr

Keith Lyons (@520507) shares a comprehensive resource outlining previous work on expected goals. bit.ly/1Hnj29V. Literature. 22 Apr

.@CIES_Football’s interactive digital atlas visualises squad data throughout Europe. bit.ly/1Hnj29V. Comparison. 21 Apr

.@jair1970 applies a data-led analysis to dissect Tottenham’s performances over the past two seasons. bit.ly/1Hnj29V. Contenders. 20 Apr

.@GregorydSam examines how conversion rates are assessed. Sample. twitter.com/OptaPro/status… 18 Apr

BLOG: @GregorydSam uses conversion rates to analyse how we assess finishing ability. bit.ly/2pcKJha. Assumption. 14 Apr

BLOG: @GregorydSam discusses how we assess finishing skill. bit.ly/2pcKJha. Bayesian. https://t.co/PuDnYmNddj 13 Apr

Dennis Lock, @MiamiDolphins Head of Analytics, discusses how data has been integrated within the franchise. Open. youtube.com/watch?v=xgSsI5… 7 Apr

FILM – Dennis Lock, Head of Analytics at @MiamiDolphins, delivers the guest talk at the #OptaProForum. Keynote. youtube.com/watch?v=xgSsI5… 7 Apr

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Shots and goals: quality, expectations and context

Keith Lyons provides a comprehensive resource reviewing literature across introductions to analytics, shots and expected goals.

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Red Line Report: Who's trending up and down ahead of the MLS Cup Playoffs?

MLSsoccer.com analyses each MLS team going into the playoffs, visualising the expected goal difference of each side with additional insight from OptaPro’s Tom Worville.

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The importance of high-return shots

Garry Gelade’s latest analytical blog explores the value in making the correct shooting decisions.

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Lack of finishing touch harming Arsenal's title hopes

Writing for the official Premier League website, Colin Trainor (@colinttrainor) uses Expected Goals to explain Arsenal's league position at this stage of the season.

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Analytics FC: Michael Caley and Expected Goals

Michael Caley joins Tom Worville and Sam Gregory on the Analytics FC podcast for an in-depth discussion on Expected Goals.

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Premier League projections and new Expected Goals

Michael Caley provides a detailed discussion of his Opta-powered Expected Goals method.

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Joining teams like Real Madrid and Barcelona doesn’t guarantee individual success

Writing for The Washington Post, Michael Caley uses expected goals to analyse whether playing for an elite side can improve a player’s performance.

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Expected goals in the Premier League 2014/15

Brian Prestidge uses Tableau to visualise actual goals and expected goals in last season’s Premier League.

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Expected goals and evaluating performance

The New York Times speaks with OptaPro advanced analyst Johannes Harkins about expected goals and their application in the Women’s World Cup.

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Uncertain expectations

The second instalment of this two-part piece, Will Gurpinar-Morgan outlines, discusses and evaluates his expected goals model.

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Gladbach: luck or a blind spot in expected goals?

‘Saturdays on the Couch’ (@SaturdayOnCouch) uses the Expected Goals metric to analyse the performances of Borussia Monchengladbach over the past three seasons.

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Premier League. Should he stay or should he go?

Paul Riley (@footballfactman) uses Expected Goals as a framework to analyse the influence and impact of Premier League managers.

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